Dark
Graphs of cool long term trends
September 2021 This is a compilation of graphs that show interesting trends that might drive change in the future. Some of these trends have already borne fruit while others are much more probabilistic. I am sure there are many interesting things I missed out that you are aware of. Email me at ago@agolajko.com or get in touch on Twitter .
Moore's law
From: Implications of Historical Trends in the Electrical Efficiency of
Computing
Scaling laws in machine learning (NLP)
From: Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models
via Gwern
Amount of energy produced by nuclear powerplants
From: World Nuclear Association
Li-ion battery prices dropping
From: Bloomberg NEF
Solar module prices decreasing
From: Our World in Data
Research grade solar module efficiency increasing
From: NREL
Number of neurons that can be recorded from
Doubling time looks to be on the rise from 6 years to 3-4 years
From: Jacques Carolan
Projections for market share of animal, cultivated and plant based meats
Whatever does happen in this space it will be interesting to watch
From: Kearney
Price of DNA sequencing has been rapidly dropping for 15 years and slowing down in the past 5 years
From: NIH
From: Yaniv Erlich's Twitter
Is this a local blip in the trend that is otherwise ploughing downward?
Global fertility rate is trending towards 2
From: Our World in Data
Keck's law of fiber optic connectivity
From: The Economist for more on Keck's law check this piece
Keck's law of fiber optic connectivity
From: Slack's report via Gleech
Baumol effect
From: Our World in Data . For more on the Baumol effect check Marginal Revolution and Slate Star Codex
